RUSSIA

Published on Nov 30, 2015

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PRESENTATION OUTLINE

RUSSIA

CFP 2015
Photo by Chrisser

Timeline

Photo by Leo Reynolds

Pre-Soviet/Czarist phase

Photo by A.Currell

Soviet phase I

Photo by agitprop

Philosophy

Photo by Leo Reynolds

2(a)

Photo by Leo Reynolds

Traditionally realist

  • Part of European balance of power
  • Simultaneously Asian power
Photo by lyng883

Major European power

Photo by ninara

Checked Napoleon

Photo by Xuan Che

Conflict with Ottomans

Part of Bismarck's grand scheme

Russo-Japanese war 1904-

The Great Game

Photo by peretzp

2(b)

Photo by Leo Reynolds

Marxist/Ideological phase

  • THE COLD WAR
Photo by DncnH

2(c)

Photo by Leo Reynolds

NOW?NEO-REALIST?

Kissinger on Putin

Nationalist

Photo by ** Maurice **

Territorial

Spheres of influence - Syria, Ukraine, Georgia
Photo by Matthijs Gall

Alliances

China-Russia 
Photo by Mark Turner

2(d)

Photo by Leo Reynolds

Military legacy

Military legacy?

Ukraine 
Photo by Akula Lopotev

Military legacy?

Syria

2(e)

Attitude to International systems
Photo by Leo Reynolds

Permanent Member UNSC

  • Opposed to intervention
  • Status-quo power
Photo by swedennewyork

Joined WTO 2012

International systems 

2(f)

Other factors 
Photo by Leo Reynolds

European or Asian?

Photo by peretzp

The Orthodox faith

Photo by Xuan Che

Decision-making process

Photo by Leo Reynolds

Imperial era- autocratic, elite model

  • Bureaucratic factions
  • Bureaucratic politics
  • Organisational process
  • Groupthink

Communist era- Party - Government model

Communist era

Stalinist autocracy
Stalinist era decision-making in foreign policy is a classical example of the autocratic model of decision-making

Communist era

THE POLITBURO

Communist Era

Elite model 
Post-Stalin, authority was diffused. Top Soviet leaders lined-up on the Kremlin during May Day parades in order of influence. Decision-making was a collective exercise within this closed elite.

Communist era

  • Bureaucratic factions
  • Bureaucratic politics
  • Organisational process
  • Groupthink
Long-serving Foreign Minister Gromyko with Brezhnev. Soviet foreign policy decisions were often the outcome of intense political jockeying amongst various branches of the Soviet party and government bureaucracy.

Post-Soviet

A period of uncertainty 
Long-serving Foreign Minister Gromyko with Brezhnev. Soviet foreign policy decisions were often the outcome of intense political jockeying amongst various branches of the Soviet party and government bureaucracy.

Post-Soviet

  • Shock therapy
  • Limited market reforms
  • Limited democracy
Long-serving Foreign Minister Gromyko with Brezhnev. Soviet foreign policy decisions were often the outcome of intense political jockeying amongst various branches of the Soviet party and government bureaucracy.

Putin

Autocracy?

Putin

Or is it an oligarchy?

PUBLIC OPINION

Photo by Leo Reynolds

Does Media have a role?

Photo by meadowsaffron

Foreign policy a diversion from Internal problems? Weakening economy, other problems

What do the people want? Stability? A resurgent Russia? Respect? Democracy? Human rights?

SPECIAL INTERESTS

Photo by rauter25

MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX

Photo by Akula Lopotev

THE RUSSIAN "OLIGARCHY"

INDIVIDUALS

Individuals have mattered in Russia 

STALIN

  • Centralised power
  • Relied exclusively on force
  • Turned a super-power into a major power
Photo by Paul_Blakeman

Gorbachev

Glasnost, Prerestroika, ended the Cold War

PUTIN

  • Centralised power
  • Aggressive
  • Media savvy
  • KGB background
Photo by volna80