POPULATION PREDICTION PROBLEMS

ISSUE 1

ISSUE 1

• Growth is exponential
• Fertility rates are the most important in growth
• MDCs have stable growth rates (ex.North America and Europe)
• Explosive growth occurs in the Middle East and Sub Saharan Africa
• World fertility rate map predicts where growth is most rapid

ISSUE 2

ISSUE 2

• Emigration- people exiting a country
• Immigration- people moving into a country
• Primary motivation for moving- Economy
• People want to move to MDCs
• Refugee- political or life threatening reasons as to moving

ISSUE 3

ISSUE 3

• Some religions and cultures prize large families
• Examples- Catholic, Mormon, and Muslim families
• Government policies- Worry for overpopulation (1 child policy in China)
• Shrinking population = less success in economy
• Tax breaks- incentives to have more kids

ISSUE 4

ISSUE 4

• Bearing brackets can be wiped out from wars
• Sub Saharan Africa and the spread of AIDS
• Pulls down life expectancy, pulls up infant mortality rates

WHY DOES “HOW MANY & WHERE” MATTER?

• The population growth can affect the country's government and economy
• Predicting population growth depends on "how many and where"