PRESENTATION OUTLINE
SCENARIO 1: PROPORTION TESTING
QUESTIONS
- What test do we use on proportions?
- We use the hypothesis test on proportions to test a claim.
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- What significance level do you choose?
- I chose the significance level .05
- The corresponding critical value for the significance level is 1.96
PROCESS
- I selected every 3rd recorded date until I had 30 data points to use as my sample.
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- Test this claim from Amazon: During the 2014 year, our stock price remained above $380 per share more than 80% of the time.
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- After plugging my data points into my calculator with the "1-prop z-test" and got the following results:
- Prop>.8
- Z=-8.215838363
- P=1
- P hat = .2
- N=30
- Since the p value of 1 is greater than the significance level .05, we fail to reject the null hypothesis
SCENARIO 2: MEAN TESTING (SIGMA KNOWN)
QUESTIONS
- What test do we use on means in this case?
- Z test
I chose the significance level 0.1 which has the corresponding critical value 1.645
Process
I selected every 3rd recorded date starting from the end of the list until I had 40 data points to use as my sample. After I entered it into list 1 in my calculator, I found the 1-car statistics which revealed that the sigma was 16.80385227
During the 2014 year, our average stock price remained above
$350 per share.
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- I used the z-test function on my calculator in order to test the claim and got:
- Mean= 350
- Z= -10.8
- P=1
- X bar= 321.29725
- Sigma: 16.8038522
Since the significance level of .1 is less than the p value 1, we reject the null hypothesis
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- We use the t test for means in this case
- I chose the significance level .01
- The corresponding critical value is 2.575
Process
I selected the data from every other recorded date starting from the second row until I had 40 different data points to use as my sample and added them into a list in my calculator.
During the 2014 year, our average stock price remained above $350 per share.
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- I used the t-test function on my calculator in order to test the claim and got:
- Mean > 350
- t= -10.75043725
- P=1
- X bar= 321.681
- Standard deviation = 16.66026023
- We reject the null hypothesis
Conclusion:
This project helped in my understanding of null hypothesizes and testing their validity for proportions and means especially since I was gone on most days that it was taught. However, I am still a little confused and I'm not exactly sure if I demonstrated the correct way to test a null hypothesis in this project.