conclusions
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
HERBERT HOOVER, 1930: GREAT DEPRESSION
FIVE QUESTIONS STATS CAN HELP ANSWER
Question 1. What is the future of football?
CORRELATIONS BETWEEN DEMENTIAS & MEMORY DISEASES
TAU, HELMETS, SELECTION BIAS, & DOGFIGHTS
Question 2. What is causing the dramatic rise in autism?
AN EPIDEMIC OR AN “EPIDEMIC OF DIAGNOSIS?”
ENVIRONMENT? GENES? WE DON’T KNOW.
Science may not be good at proving, but it’s actually quite good at disproving.
Question 3. How can we identify good teachers & schools?
“VALUE-ADDED,” FALSE PRECISION, & “NOISY” DATA
CARRELL & WEST: AIR FORCE ACADEMY PROFESSORS
MAKE SURE YOU MEASURE WHAT REALLY MATTERS
Question 4. What are the best tools to fight global poverty?
DUFLO & HANNA: CAMERAS IN INDIAN SCHOOLS
DUFLO: FERTILIZER IN KENYA
DUFLO: MEN’S VS. WOMEN’S CROPS IN COTE D’IVOIRE
The point is that Duflo is doing program evaluation and experiments!
Question 5. Who gets to know what about you?
TARGET, PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS, & PREGNANCY
Companies pretend to know less about us so we won’t be creeped out
FACEBOOK: THE DATA MOTHERLODE
CCTV & FACIAL RECOGNITION
“Statistics is more important than ever before because we have more meaningful opportunities to make use of data.“
BUT THE MATH WON’T SAVE US
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